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The Kamala thread.

Are there any current polls you can trust? (Anyone)

Go for a walk in the city and asking random people myself would be the only way I'd trust a poll right about now. The MSM has her behind by a few percent, so in reality it's probably a landslide in Trumps favor.
 
Are there any current polls you can trust? (Anyone)
Today
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10/9
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9/11
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I don't think they can pull it off during the election.

The J6 sequel makes the most sense given their choices lately
 
So a possibility-

Trump wins, they don't "allow it", there's a January 6th part II twin turbo Z71 edition, once they get that under control and Kamala is official there's sweeping legislation and executive orders that change everything we think they will change.
 
So a possibility-

Trump wins, they don't "allow it", there's a January 6th part II twin turbo Z71 edition, once they get that under control and Kamala is official there's sweeping legislation and executive orders that change everything we think they will change.
How they not going to allow it? Wouldn't Vance get the seat then?
 
So a possibility-

Trump wins, they don't "allow it", there's a January 6th part II twin turbo Z71 edition, once they get that under control and Kamala is official there's sweeping legislation and executive orders that change everything we think they will change.

If that happens I'll be strongly considering packing my shit and moving to Mexico. #Fuckit
 
While I put very very very little faith in polls, this guy has been doing daily poll coverage that seems as legit as it can be.


This is the latest video
 
Betting odds picked Biden in 2020 and Trump in 2016... worth a peek
The betting line is not an indicator of who will win. If Da Bears are favored to win over the Lions, it doesn't mean Vegas thinks they will win, they're just trying to get equal or near equal amounts bet on both sides so that they can take the vig and have the losers offset the winners. They rarely get beat.
 
The betting line is not an indicator of who will win. If Da Bears are favored to win over the Lions, it doesn't mean Vegas thinks they will win, they're just trying to get equal or near equal amounts bet on both sides so that they can take the vig and have the losers offset the winners. They rarely get beat.
Yeah its a counter to the most bets at the time, I are not smart enough to reverse engineer WTF that means.
 
The betting line is not an indicator of who will win. If Da Bears are favored to win over the Lions, it doesn't mean Vegas thinks they will win, they're just trying to get equal or near equal amounts bet on both sides so that they can take the vig and have the losers offset the winners. They rarely get beat.

Yeah its a counter to the most bets at the time, I are not smart enough to reverse engineer WTF that means.
The question was about polls you can trust. The amount of input into these numbers blows away any amount of polls combined.

I don't play em but like to watch them, 2016 and 2020 they moved against what most expected and were correct
 
IMO the polls are a joke, the people that would answer a phone call to chat about pres candidates can't be representative of a slice of society.

Similar to 10 years ago when TV ratings were still based off Nielsen boxs, and all I watched was YouTube.
The amount of CSI, true crime dramas confirmed we are on different systems.
 
The question was about polls you can trust. The amount of input into these numbers blows away any amount of polls combined.

I don't play em but like to watch them, 2016 and 2020 they moved against what most expected and were correct
As long as the polling method is consistent, you don't really need to "trust" it. You can extrapolate based on on historical polling and and actual election outcomes to compensate for bias.
 
Yeah its a counter to the most bets at the time, I are not smart enough to reverse engineer WTF that means.
The betting line is basically a poll of people that bet. Not really sure how they represent the general population. Like are there more democrat gamblers then pubs?
 
As long as the polling method is consistent, you don't really need to "trust" it. You can extrapolate based on on historical polling and and actual election outcomes to compensate for bias.

Yeah, the interesting thing about the polls IMO Is when most are showing the same trend and the trend they're showing is that Kamala has peaked and it's drifting back toward Trump and that is accelerating the more interviews she exposed herself to.
 
IMO the polls are a joke, the people that would answer a phone call to chat about pres candidates can't be representative of a slice of society.

Similar to 10 years ago when TV ratings were still based off Nielsen boxs, and all I watched was YouTube.
The amount of CSI, true crime dramas confirmed we are on different systems.
They are, some of the DNC internally polling got leaked a week and a half or so ago and showed her losing like 6 of the major swing states.

Follow the polls back to their source and check their methodology, more often than not the polls are a sample size of 1k people or less and it'll be like 60/40 Dem/Rep that they poll. It's all to influence opinion because they know the vast majority of people aren't going to go down the rabbit hole of checking how the polling is conducted.
 
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