bigun
Red Skull Member
The two nations are engaged in a war of words.
I’m just re-upping this to remind us that the situation between Belarus and Ukraine is very touchy. The Belarus military is providing training to mobilized Russian reservists because Russia has a shortage of trainers due to the war. Russia wants to draw Belarus into the war to open a “second front” to pin down Ukrainian forces so they can’t be used in the east.
At the same time, Belarus is stripping its own military of tanks and armored fighting vehicles to transfer these to Russia to replace combat losses.
Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko is a savvy enough politician to know his people aren’t terribly interested in getting involved in Putin’s War. If you recall, Belarus had a surge of sabotage attacks on its rail lines in the direction of the Russian border (Belarus Rail Lines Carrying Trains With Supplies for the Russian Army Are Being Hit by Sabotage Attacks). In the past week, some more alleged sabotage activity has surfaced.
Ukrainian Special Forces Raids Airfield in Russia
Mainstream media reports that Ukrainian Special Forces carried out a raid on a Russian airfield at Pskov, some 400 miles from Ukraine…but only 20 from Latvia
Airfields aren’t the hardest targets to hit, and the chances of getting in and out without being detected are excellent. That being said, the Ukrainians are proving adept at conceiving and executing outside-the-box operations that a top-down army like Russia’s, has a hard time anticipating.
Mobilization Ends
I’ve covered the mobilization problems in some detail in previous posts. As I mentioned above, the Russians are trying to overcome their lack of a formal training establishment by using Belarusian Army trainers. The whole issue has turned into a political nightmare for Putin. Last week, Putin formally ended mobilization.
The pain of the men caught up in the process continues.
Even though I’m clearly supportive of Ukraine driving Russia back to the pre-2014 boundaries of that country, I’m also a professional infantry officer and an avid student of warfare. I may be proven wrong on this, or “time will tell,” as one of the more noxious “tankie” accounts says, but I can’t see how Russia feeds and clothes the men it is sending to Ukraine, much less train them and discipline them into cohesive and effective units. They are cannon fodder in the truest sense of the phrase.
ICYMI, last month, the head of Russia’s mobilization program unfortunately “suicided” himself.
Rail Line from Kiev to Chisinau (Moldova) Reopens
Poland Looks East for a Weapons Supplier
Poland cannot get the weapons it wants fast enough from Germany and the United States, so it has turned to South Korea to take up the slack. Of particular interest to Poland is the Chunmoo MLRS, a rough analog to HIMARS. HIMARS, a US-produced system, can’t be manufactured fast enough to meet Poland’s force modernization needs; South Korea doesn’t have that problem. Poland has already bought 190 Korean Black Panther tanks (video below) while waiting for the US to deliver M1 Abrams tanks.
The Ukrainian Army has released a video to the people of Belarus.
It says the 2 nations have always had good relations and fought side-by-side in many wars.
The Ukrainians say Lukashenko is a criminal & that Ukraine will fight back if Belarus invades UA. pic.twitter.com/XDFMsjAqcN
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 23, 2022
Belarus responds to Ukraine, “If you do not want war, there won't be one. But do not provoke us, do not try to intimidate us, do not escalate and things will be as you want. We do not want war and threaten no one. However, we will respond to any challenges and provocations.” pic.twitter.com/THKGxYOcSM
— Nina 🐙 Byzantina (@NinaByzantina) October 26, 2022
I’m just re-upping this to remind us that the situation between Belarus and Ukraine is very touchy. The Belarus military is providing training to mobilized Russian reservists because Russia has a shortage of trainers due to the war. Russia wants to draw Belarus into the war to open a “second front” to pin down Ukrainian forces so they can’t be used in the east.
Belarus Will Be Under Attack: Shoigu – The Confrontation Between the West and Russia is Intensifying pic.twitter.com/twyPzkj6Tb
— Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil (@ivan_8848) November 5, 2022
At the same time, Belarus is stripping its own military of tanks and armored fighting vehicles to transfer these to Russia to replace combat losses.
Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko is a savvy enough politician to know his people aren’t terribly interested in getting involved in Putin’s War. If you recall, Belarus had a surge of sabotage attacks on its rail lines in the direction of the Russian border (Belarus Rail Lines Carrying Trains With Supplies for the Russian Army Are Being Hit by Sabotage Attacks). In the past week, some more alleged sabotage activity has surfaced.
UNTRAINED, BUT WILLING: It begins. @PotempkinBrain reports that on 25 OCT the Anarcho-Communist Combat Organization (#БОАК) claimed to have blown a rail section linking RU to Ukraine & Belarus. The act was audacious, but charge placement was amaturish. https://t.co/cZhYReuPOc pic.twitter.com/8tZRXXhZ8a
— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) October 28, 2022
#Russia: The Anarcho-Communist Combat Organization has released footage claimed to show to be sabotage on Russian railway infrastructure.This comes as the route to Belarus was sabotaged by explosives, stopping a large amount of military traffic to #Ukraine.
(via @potempkinbrain) pic.twitter.com/9z3PbRs9f6
— POPULAR FRONT (@PopularFront_) November 4, 2022
Ukrainian Special Forces Raids Airfield in Russia
Mainstream media reports that Ukrainian Special Forces carried out a raid on a Russian airfield at Pskov, some 400 miles from Ukraine…but only 20 from Latvia
Ukrainian Saboteurs Reportedly Blew Up Russian Helicopters 500 Miles From Ukraines as two Ka-52s were destroyed at the airfield in the Pskov region, western Russia, and two more were seriously damaged.Ukrainian Saboteurs Reportedly Blew Up Russian Helicopters 500 Miles From Ukraine
— Franky Tts (@FrankyTts) November 2, 2022
Airfields aren’t the hardest targets to hit, and the chances of getting in and out without being detected are excellent. That being said, the Ukrainians are proving adept at conceiving and executing outside-the-box operations that a top-down army like Russia’s, has a hard time anticipating.
Mobilization Ends
I’ve covered the mobilization problems in some detail in previous posts. As I mentioned above, the Russians are trying to overcome their lack of a formal training establishment by using Belarusian Army trainers. The whole issue has turned into a political nightmare for Putin. Last week, Putin formally ended mobilization.
Russian MoD announced that by the order of the Defense Minister Shoigu, all activities related to the partial mobilization have been stopped.
GSRF sent instructions to the commanders of the military districts to report by Nov 1 on the completion of partial mobilization measures. pic.twitter.com/52fEKUWXM4
— Status-6 (@Archer83Able) October 31, 2022
Russian mobilization, October 27-28: Defense minister Shoigu announces suspension of mobilization, some mobilized are kept in a cage in an expo center in Kazan, and more regions are preparing to draft students for "labor mobilization"Summary of mobilization in Russia for October 27–28 pic.twitter.com/UIcBzvkPJq
— CIT (en) (@CITeam_en) October 29, 2022
The pain of the men caught up in the process continues.
State representative speaks in front of a group of partially mobilized soldiers minutes before they are sent to Ukraine.
“Dear recruits, you aren’t cannon fodder, you are trained soldiers”.
Some of the soldiers start crying and screaming:
“we are cannon fodder!” pic.twitter.com/RPm3gcEEnO
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 28, 2022
Even though I’m clearly supportive of Ukraine driving Russia back to the pre-2014 boundaries of that country, I’m also a professional infantry officer and an avid student of warfare. I may be proven wrong on this, or “time will tell,” as one of the more noxious “tankie” accounts says, but I can’t see how Russia feeds and clothes the men it is sending to Ukraine, much less train them and discipline them into cohesive and effective units. They are cannon fodder in the truest sense of the phrase.
ICYMI, last month, the head of Russia’s mobilization program unfortunately “suicided” himself.
In #Primorsky Krai, the body of Partizansk military commissar Roman Malyk was found. The investigation is considering suicide or murder.
It is known that Malyk had fought in #Chechnya and had not complained about his health recently. pic.twitter.com/lzc9bukHVD
— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) October 15, 2022
Rail Line from Kiev to Chisinau (Moldova) Reopens
Launching train Kyiv-Chisinau today. That's the first time since 1998 when @Ukrzaliznytsia runs this route. 152 passengers travel from Kyiv on the inaugural train. We start with our best fleet, #TrainToVictory. pic.twitter.com/hN35KzzZDq
— Alexander Kamyshin (@AKamyshin) November 5, 2022
Poland Looks East for a Weapons Supplier
Poland cannot get the weapons it wants fast enough from Germany and the United States, so it has turned to South Korea to take up the slack. Of particular interest to Poland is the Chunmoo MLRS, a rough analog to HIMARS. HIMARS, a US-produced system, can’t be manufactured fast enough to meet Poland’s force modernization needs; South Korea doesn’t have that problem. Poland has already bought 190 Korean Black Panther tanks (video below) while waiting for the US to deliver M1 Abrams tanks.
"Hanwha Aerospace Co. of South Korea signed an executive contract, worth US$3.55 billion, with Poland for the supply of Chunmoo multiple launch rocket systems, Seoul's defense authorities announced Friday."Hanwha signs US$3.5 billion contract to supply Chunmoo MLRS to Poland | Yonhap News Agency
— Guy Plopsky (@GuyPlopsky) November 4, 2022