well, the one that slept their way to the top is, atleast
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Make your election prediction! Trump in a landslide from me.
- Thread starter dntsdad
- Start date
well, the one that slept their way to the top is, atleast
Roc Doc
2A SNBI
What were you buying in Oak Park?
Roc Doc
2A SNBI
Again the line doesn't indicate who the books care who wins, and the line is not an indicator of who will win. They're just trying to get betters laying even money on each side so they can take the Vig from the middle. The line is about as reliable as a poll.
The psychic hotline is not hiring anyone here.
westracing01
TBD
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Ah. The 3AM steal.
That's my bet.
Correct, except GA.
Arps
Well-known member
I guess it depends on where you look
I guess it depends on where you look
most national polls are there to shape opinion. and they traditionally under sample conservatives on purpose. the campaigns internal polls show the real story. just watch what they do.
Kamala is down in Pennsylvania and in Michigan, is my guess.
i think she's given up in GA or knows the steal is still in place, similar to AZ.
they are outspending Trump maybe 2-1 and are "tied"? no... i don't believe its actually tied
I hope you don’t think that I thought that it is any real indication. Dude asked about Vegas odds, so I shared them. Unless I misunderstood him.
Motorcharge
Unregistered User
538 is owned by ABC.I guess it depends on where you look
the conservative atheist
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Tucker Carlson for some reason thinks they can't steal it because the media won't be able to pretend Harris got 100 million votes. I wish I agreed.
Gregj50!!!!!
Boob
My post disappeared:deleted!!!!! I made the first prediction in this thread, “Trump comes down the gold escalator on Wednesday morning”!!!!!!
It’s fuggin gone!!!!!
It’s fuggin gone!!!!!
WTF?
degenerate at large
it certainly does- ABC is one of the high outliers (also bear in mind the polls have overestimated dem performance vs actual results by 5%+ in the last 2 election cycles):I guess it depends on where you look
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Swayzeexpress
Red Skull Member
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Like this website showing Trump at .60 and Hyena at .45.
PredictIt
www.predictit.org
Or any given places in Vegas, other websites, etc.
I want to see what real money is saying about it.
Today even better
It is insanely more accurate than a poll, if you read about market efficiency it will explain better than I can.
The balance comes into play with why both sides aren't symmetrical. If it was like a sport with a spread, that's a different story and I'd agree with you
Edit: in 2020 same site had Trumps lead slipping since July, into the election he was +140/Biden-185
Politics Betting: Bet on the 2020 Presidential Election + Odds | Bovada
If you think that Biden, Trump, or a dark horse contender will become president, Bovada’s got the odds for all your 2020 presidential election prop bets.
hub.bovada.lv
They basically called the steal
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Why hide it? We The People didn't do shit about it last time besides bitch on the internet so why not cheat massively again, nobody is going to do shit about it.
See how that works....
Sandy Johnson
Harry Member
No progressive(ore even moderate conservative for that matter) believes it happened.
rockota
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disagree...What's bullshit is that CA like most other states is a winner take all college votes, which if you're not on the winning side, your vote essentially counts for nothing. We all know SoCal and Bay Area/Sacramento will vote blue, but all those folks in the Central Coast, SJ Valley, and foothill/mountain communities might as well not even vote with their votes getting pummeled by the big metro centers.
splitting the electoral college votes dilutes us closer to a "democracy"... which is scary
Roc Doc
2A SNBI
No. I posted that because Yota Downs seemed to think the betting public would be a reliable indicator.
Roc Doc
2A SNBI
Of course you do,
So you're happy that Californian is giving all it's 54 votes to Harris? There is no evidence that splitting the votes would turn us into a democracy. The common claim, is that the big cities would overrule the rural, but that's already the case for the most part.
Dethmachinefab
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They do, but it's fine because "it's my team".
Here's recent fraud, examples are plentiful. How many aren't caught, and do you think only local elections are rigged?
Political Organizer and Former President of City Council of Atlantic City Charged with Submitting Fraudulent Mail-In Ballots
CAMDEN, N.J. – An Atlantic County, New Jersey, man was arrested today for his role in procuring, casting, and tabulating fraudulent mail-in ballots submitted in the Nov. 8, 2022, general election.
rockota
white collar hillbilly
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Of course you do,
So you're happy that Californian is giving all it's 54 votes to Harris? There is no evidence that splitting the votes would turn us into a democracy. The common claim, is that the big cities would overrule the rural, but that's already the case for the most part.
California has the right to do what they want. I said “closer to a democracy” and give more ammunition for the popular vote and tired vote fans.
Sandy Johnson
Harry Member
Roc Doc
2A SNBI
They fucked up the local ballot here in Maricopa county already. It was for a school board position and the instructions should have said "Voter for 1", but it was printed as "Vote for 2".They do, but it's fine because "it's my team".
Here's recent fraud, examples are plentiful. How many aren't caught, and do you think only local elections are rigged?
Political Organizer and Former President of City Council of Atlantic City Charged with Submitting Fraudulent Mail-In Ballots
CAMDEN, N.J. – An Atlantic County, New Jersey, man was arrested today for his role in procuring, casting, and tabulating fraudulent mail-in ballots submitted in the Nov. 8, 2022, general election.www.justice.gov
Doh! They might have to do a special election just for those four candidates if they don't get a clear winner.
gladman
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I consistently hear how stupid the democrats are... and I find some of the evidence compelling.
If the democrats are as stupid as they appear
how could they possibly outwit the republicans and cheat and get away with it?
It would be easy (and logical) to believe 'the democrats are dumb' and the election has not been stolen (ever)
or the democrats are really smart and know how to effectively steal elections (and have.)
But, it is a struggle for them to be both stupid and outwit the otherwise superior republicans.
If the democrats are as stupid as they appear
how could they possibly outwit the republicans and cheat and get away with it?
It would be easy (and logical) to believe 'the democrats are dumb' and the election has not been stolen (ever)
or the democrats are really smart and know how to effectively steal elections (and have.)
But, it is a struggle for them to be both stupid and outwit the otherwise superior republicans.
nahmus
Refugee from syrup
Seems like they are burning ballot boxes in WA and Oregon. Not sure why. No way republicans get anything from those places. Can't see why either side would do that.
gladman
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raise awareness. demonstrate it can be done. give ideas to lower performing states who might not think of it. get on the news. try out new explosive devices. Both Washington and Oregon (and to a lesser degree) California have pretty major red blue splits... the secession from WA and OR has been bantered about for 20 years or so.
Sandy Johnson
Harry Member
Devil's advocate here-
Could it be possible that the same people stealing elections are not the same people that are running for them?
I do feel that any truly smart person would run screaming from the presidency in this day and age.