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Real Corona Death Rate

Mattafact

Mattafact

Yellow Skull
Joined
May 20, 2020
Member Number
417
Messages
726
Loc
The Real Valley
I hear a lot of people talking like it's 99.7% survivable but what they're doing is dividing number of deaths by total population and getting a tiny percentage. Not everyone is infected so you can't do that. Don't be that guy.

Total deaths/total infections is the real mortality percentage. The hard part is that since not everyone has been tested at the exact same time then we'll never have a completely accurate number of total infections. That's why in public health we test a sample and extrapolate from there since testing a population is not possible. Is it perfect? Hell no but it's the best we can do with the conditions we are given.

:stirthepot:

Time for the idiots to come out of the woodwork
 
Mattafact said:
I hear a lot of people talking like it's 99.7% survivable but what they're doing is dividing number of deaths by total population and getting a tiny percentage. Not everyone is infected so you can't do that. Don't be that guy.

Total deaths/total infections is the real mortality percentage. The hard part is that since not everyone has been tested at the exact same time then we'll never have a completely accurate number of total infections. That's why in public health we test a sample and extrapolate from there since testing a population is not possible. Is it perfect? Hell no but it's the best we can do with the conditions we are given.

:stirthepot:

Time for the idiots to come out of the woodwork
Click to expand...

I wanna know what happened to all the people who say "live everyday like it's your last!" because I'm pretty sure those are the sheeptards who believe you can stop a fucking virus from spreading. 6 months of hiding in a toilet paper fort in your living room? Go live you life, damn the torpedoes.

I'm pretty sure grandma wanted to see her fucking grandchildren instead of dying alone after nobody visited for 6 months.
 
I'm betting there are a whole lot of positive results being repeated as if they are new cases. By friend tested positive the first week of August for the second time after we were both sick the first week of July and he tested positive. He was just tested again on Monday and he finally tested negative.

I truly think there is an agenda at play in how things are being dealt with to the point that it'll be years before we know the real numbers if it ever happens.
 
Mattafact said:
I hear a lot of people talking like it's 99.7% survivable but what they're doing is dividing number of deaths by total population and getting a tiny percentage. Not everyone is infected so you can't do that. Don't be that guy.

Total deaths/total infections is the real mortality percentage. The hard part is that since not everyone has been tested at the exact same time then we'll never have a completely accurate number of total infections. That's why in public health we test a sample and extrapolate from there since testing a population is not possible. Is it perfect? Hell no but it's the best we can do with the conditions we are given.

:stirthepot:

Time for the idiots to come out of the woodwork
Click to expand...

What about all the people that did get the Kung Flu and the symptoms were so mild they never even went to the doctor and were never tested ?
IMO there's a mega-shit-load of those people out there.
 
Mattafact said:
I hear a lot of people talking like it's 99.7% survivable but what they're doing is dividing number of deaths by total population and getting a tiny percentage. Not everyone is infected so you can't do that. Don't be that guy.

Total deaths/total infections is the real mortality percentage. The hard part is that since not everyone has been tested at the exact same time then we'll never have a completely accurate number of total infections. That's why in public health we test a sample and extrapolate from there since testing a population is not possible. Is it perfect? Hell no but it's the best we can do with the conditions we are given.

:stirthepot:

Time for the idiots to come out of the woodwork
Click to expand...

If you were correct we would have around 10 million deaths in the US
 
We'll never have data accurate enough to be usable. Malfeasance has been proven (openly) and not a fucking thing has been done to address it.

This was really bad. This was really mild. Or something. Maybe the archeologists will figure it out.
 
Fullsize80cherokee said:
It’s pretty much like a bad cold/flu.. I can’t believe there’s so many people still falling for the bullshit still.
Click to expand...

yep. been tested at work(that nose test thing sucks) i got tested for it shortly after memorial day after i went to my bro in laws fer a bbq. he mowed his lawn and i just thought it was allergies. i had a sore throat, a very mild cough, and tired all the time. never had a fever, loss of taste or anythng. get tested at work and got 2 weeks paid vacation. wife tested positive to but kid didnt.

theyre making up shit as they go. the china virus is a load of crap and the number padding from hospitals is more bullshit, mandatory masks is bullshit to.

RUGER
 
45acp said:
We'll never have data accurate enough to be usable. Malfeasance has been proven (openly) and not a fucking thing has been done to address it.

This was really bad. This was really mild. Or something. Maybe the archeologists will figure it out.
Click to expand...

Yep, every storm, hurricane, daily temperature, daily rainfall, :mr-t: eating chicken, cops eating donuts, :mr-t: beating cops, cops beating :mr-t:, etc. Is a record if you crunch or make up enough numbers
 
The real infection number is someplace between 5-20 times the confirmed number using the current best guess. Dividing the number of confirmed deaths by the China flu into the population is the death rate per population. Dividing the deaths into confirmed cases is a highly inflated death rate. People are stupid and can’t figure out the difference, but this is a country that elected Obama twice.

We still don’t know shit about the Rona bug, it’s going to with us for a long time. We do know it’s much more dangerous in Democrat run states, and apparently affects bars in Washington after 10:00 pm since they have to shut down at 10:00 when the Rona spreads.
 
I cant believe anyone takes this seriously still after all the riots and protests, the double standard, and no huge spike in cases.

Saying that I start a new safety job next week, so I gotta switch my logic brain off, and switch on parroting company COVID safety policy brain on.
 
idunno but a lot of people are dying i hear from others locally, mainly 50+. Just my apartment manager said two vendors died of covid. Corona or not, the lot if folks dying this year. 😞

no mask for me tho
 
It's probably somewhere in the 0.25% range. That's still a lot deadlier than the common flu. The death numbers definitely aren't inflated when you look at our deaths this year vs. an average year. We're far enough ahead to account for all the confirmed COVID deaths plus quite a few more.
 
SanDiegoCJ said:
IMO this "pandemic" is way overblown. Also, IMO there's no way in hell a truly accurate number on mortality can be calculated.
Click to expand...

I agree except I believe most of the overblowing is being done for political purposes that I don't pretend to know what the end game is. Perhaps just a hate of the Cheeto?
 
If there was a true issue, they would be very carefully tracking survival rate also and reporting it.

There is a reason that it’s only negative stuff that is reported.
 
east_beast said:
It's probably somewhere in the 0.25% range. That's still a lot deadlier than the common flu. The death numbers definitely aren't inflated when you look at our deaths this year vs. an average year. We're far enough ahead to account for all the confirmed COVID deaths plus quite a few more.
Click to expand...

Where are you finding these death rates? I've had a hard time finding anything that I might consider accurate because everything seems to be buried in covid bs.
 
Michigan deaths. Caution, very scary.
Screenshot_20200828-223526_Chrome.jpg
 
2big bronco said:
Where are you finding these death rates? I've had a hard time finding anything that I might consider accurate because everything seems to be buried in covid bs.
Click to expand...

Logic. Take the official death rate of right at 3%, divide by 10 which many exerts say the actual number of cases is likely tenfold the official number and you come up with 0.3%. That's roughly 0.25%.
 
Mattafact said:
I hear a lot of people talking like it's 99.7% survivable but what they're doing is dividing number of deaths by total population and getting a tiny percentage. Not everyone is infected so you can't do that. Don't be that guy.

Total deaths/total infections is the real mortality percentage. The hard part is that since not everyone has been tested at the exact same time then we'll never have a completely accurate number of total infections. That's why in public health we test a sample and extrapolate from there since testing a population is not possible. Is it perfect? Hell no but it's the best we can do with the conditions we are given.

:stirthepot:

Time for the idiots to come out of the woodwork
Click to expand...

Please learn the terms that the entire planet uses.
Mortality rate = deaths/population
Case Fatality Rate(CFR) = deaths/cases

I'm sorry, but you alone can not change the meaning of these terms.

As far getting a clear picture on our true CFR right now, you can't. We aren't going to test the entire population. But you can sure assume that a great volume of people have had it and didn't know it and never got tested to add the numbers of actually tested.
 
Yota Up said:
Please learn the terms that the entire planet uses.
Mortality rate = deaths/population
Case Fatality Rate(CFR) = deaths/cases

I'm sorry, but you alone can not change the meaning of these terms.

As far getting a clear picture on our true CFR right now, you can't. We aren't going to test the entire population. But you can sure assume that a great volume of people have had it and didn't know it and never got tested to add the numbers of actually tested.
Click to expand...

Mortality rate is typically quoted in deaths per 1000 or 100,000 so it can be generalized between populations of different sizes. When they say population they don't literally mean the entire population but rather the "statistical population".

Maybe you should learn it. :laughing:
 
The issue is that no one actually dies from it, they die of viral pneumonia, dyspnea (basically suffocating fluid in your lungs) or of other underlying causes that the virus weakens the body so people succomb.

also the testing is so flawed that there is now way to ever know the truth.
 
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