Normally during a cycle stocks top when the fed stops raising rates, maybe this puppy runs higher into summer. This cycle is weird with covid stimulus and the employment participation rate. It's going to be harder to put the brakes on inflation until you break the back of full employment and get the unemployment number to 5% + . My bet is this market still runs up a bit farther into late summer, when it pops it's going to rip down another 40%-60%.
Or the fed could stop raising early and let inflation run to help minimize our huge debt. 50% inflation would drop the real cost of debt a bunch